In addition to redevelopment based simply on land values, cities are also making major efforts to spur growth in former military bases, in their downtowns and near transit, such as near Diridon Station in San Jose. The model includes these Priority Development Areas, compiled by the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG). We replaced our calculations with ABAG's overall growth projections.
This analysis shows that the Bay Area has plenty of room to grow within existing cities and towns. In fact, because the analysis makes several conservative assumptions—such as excluding all single-family homes, even though many of these will redevelop—it is probably an underestimate.